I want to run a multinomial logit in R and have used two libraries, nnet
and mlogit
, which produce different results and report different types of statistics. My questions are:
What is the source of discrepency between the coefficients and standard errors reported by nnet
and those reported by mlogit
?
I would like to report my results to a Latex
file using stargazer
. When doing so, there is a problematic tradeoff:
If I use the results from mlogit
then I get the statistics I wish, such as psuedo R squared, however, the output is in long format (see example below).
If I use the results from nnet
then the format is as expected, but it reports statistics that I am not interested in such as AIC, but does not include, for example, psuedo R squared.
I would like to have the statistics reported by mlogit
in the formatting of nnet
when I use stargazer
.
Here is a reproducible example, with three choice alternatives:
library(mlogit)
df = data.frame(c(0,1,1,2,0,1,0), c(1,6,7,4,2,2,1), c(683,276,756,487,776,100,982))
colnames(df) <- c('y', 'col1', 'col2')
mydata = df
mldata <- mlogit.data(mydata, choice="y", shape="wide")
mlogit.model1 <- mlogit(y ~ 1| col1+col2, data=mldata)
The tex output when compiled is of what I refer to as "long format" which I deem undesired:
Now, using nnet
:
library(nnet)
mlogit.model2 = multinom(y ~ 1 + col1+col2, data=mydata)
stargazer(mlogit.model2)
Gives the tex output:
which is of the "wide" format which I desire. Note the different coefficient and standard errors.
To my knowledge, there are three R packages that allow the estimation of the multinomial logistic regression model: mlogit
, nnet
and globaltest
(from Bioconductor). I do not consider here the mnlogit
package, a faster and more efficient implementation of mlogit
.
All the above packages use different algorithms that, for small samples, give different results. These differencies vanishes for moderate sample sizes (try with n <- 100
).
Consider the following data generating process taken from the James Keirstead's blog:
n <- 40
set.seed(4321)
df1 <- data.frame(x1=runif(n,0,100), x2=runif(n,0,100))
df1 <- transform(df1, y=1+ifelse(100 - x1 - x2 + rnorm(n,sd=10) < 0, 0,
ifelse(100 - 2*x2 + rnorm(n,sd=10) < 0, 1, 2)))
str(df1)
'data.frame': 40 obs. of 3 variables:
$ x1: num 33.48 90.91 41.15 4.38 76.35 ...
$ x2: num 68.6 42.6 49.9 36.1 49.6 ...
$ y : num 1 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 3 3 ...
table(df1$y)
1 2 3
19 8 13
The model parameters estimated by the three packages are respectively:
library(mlogit)
df2 <- mlogit.data(df1, choice="y", shape="wide")
mlogit.mod <- mlogit(y ~ 1 | x1+x2, data=df2)
(mlogit.cf <- coef(mlogit.mod))
2:(intercept) 3:(intercept) 2:x1 3:x1 2:x2 3:x2
42.7874653 80.9453734 -0.5158189 -0.6412020 -0.3972774 -1.0666809
#######
library(nnet)
nnet.mod <- multinom(y ~ x1 + x2, df1)
(nnet.cf <- coef(nnet.mod))
(Intercept) x1 x2
2 41.51697 -0.5005992 -0.3854199
3 77.57715 -0.6144179 -1.0213375
#######
library(globaltest)
glbtest.mod <- globaltest::mlogit(y ~ x1+x2, data=df1)
(cf <- glbtest.mod@coefficients)
1 2 3
(Intercept) -41.2442934 1.5431814 39.7011119
x1 0.3856738 -0.1301452 -0.2555285
x2 0.4879862 0.0907088 -0.5786950
The mlogit
command of globaltest
fits the model without using a reference outcome category, hence the usual parameters can be calculated as follows:
(glbtest.cf <- rbind(cf[,2]-cf[,1],cf[,3]-cf[,1]))
(Intercept) x1 x2
[1,] 42.78747 -0.5158190 -0.3972774
[2,] 80.94541 -0.6412023 -1.0666813
Concerning the estimation of the parameters in the three packages, the method used in mlogit::mlogit
is explained in detail here.
In nnet::multinom
the model is a neural network with no hidden layers, no bias nodes and a softmax output layer; in our case there are 3 input units and 3 output units:
nnet:::summary.nnet(nnet.mod)
a 3-0-3 network with 12 weights
options were - skip-layer connections softmax modelling
b->o1 i1->o1 i2->o1 i3->o1
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
b->o2 i1->o2 i2->o2 i3->o2
0.00 41.52 -0.50 -0.39
b->o3 i1->o3 i2->o3 i3->o3
0.00 77.58 -0.61 -1.02
Maximum conditional likelihood is the method used in multinom
for model fitting.
The parameters of multinomial logit models are estimated in globaltest::mlogit
using maximum likelihood and working with an equivalent log-linear model and the Poisson likelihood. The method is described here.
For models estimated by multinom
the McFadden's pseudo R-squared can be easily calculated as follows:
nnet.mod.loglik <- nnet:::logLik.multinom(nnet.mod)
nnet.mod0 <- multinom(y ~ 1, df1)
nnet.mod0.loglik <- nnet:::logLik.multinom(nnet.mod0)
(nnet.mod.mfr2 <- as.numeric(1 - nnet.mod.loglik/nnet.mod0.loglik))
[1] 0.8483931
At this point, using stargazer
, I generate a report for the model estimated by mlogit::mlogit
which is as similar as possible to the report of multinom
.
The basic idea is to substitute the estimated coefficients and probabilities in the object created by multinom
with the corresponding estimates of mlogit
.
# Substitution of coefficients
nnet.mod2 <- nnet.mod
cf <- matrix(nnet.mod2$wts, nrow=4)
cf[2:nrow(cf), 2:ncol(cf)] <- t(matrix(mlogit.cf,nrow=2))
# Substitution of probabilities
nnet.mod2$wts <- c(cf)
nnet.mod2$fitted.values <- mlogit.mod$probabilities
Here is the result:
library(stargazer)
stargazer(nnet.mod2, type="text")
==============================================
Dependent variable:
----------------------------
2 3
(1) (2)
----------------------------------------------
x1 -0.516** -0.641**
(0.212) (0.305)
x2 -0.397** -1.067**
(0.176) (0.519)
Constant 42.787** 80.945**
(18.282) (38.161)
----------------------------------------------
Akaike Inf. Crit. 24.623 24.623
==============================================
Note: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
Now I am working on the last issue: how to visualize loglik, pseudo R2 and other information in the above stargazer
output.
If you are using stargazer you can use omit
to remove unwanted rows or references. Here is a quick example, hopefully, it will point you int he right direction.
nb. My assumption is you are using Rstudio and rmarkdown with knitr.
```{r, echo=FALSE}
library(mlogit)
df = data.frame(c(0,1,1,2,0,1,0), c(1,6,7,4,2,2,1), c(683,276,756,487,776,100,982))
colnames(df) <- c('y', 'col1', 'col2')
mydata = df
mldata <- mlogit.data(mydata, choice = "y", shape="wide")
mlogit.model1 <- mlogit(y ~ 1| col1+col2, data=mldata)
mlogit.col1 <- mlogit(y ~ 1 | col1, data = mldata)
mlogit.col2 <- mlogit(y ~ 1 | col2, data = mldata)
```
# MLOGIT
```{r echo = FALSE, message = TRUE, error = TRUE, warning = FALSE, results = 'asis'}
library(stargazer)
stargazer(mlogit.model1, type = "html")
stargazer(mlogit.col1,
mlogit.col2,
type = "html",
omit=c("1:col1","2:col1","1:col2","2:col2"))
```
Note that the second image omits 1:col1, 2:col2, 1:col2 and 2:col2
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