Moving away from Itanium [closed]

Question

We currently have a large business-critical application written in COBOL, running on OpenVMS (Integrity/Itanium).

As the months pass, there is more and more speculation about the lifetime of the Itanium architecture. Nothing is said out in the open, of course, but articles like this and this paint a worrying picture. Although I can find nothing official to support this, there are even murmurings in the corridors of our company of HP ditching OpenVMS and HP COBOL along with it.

I cannot believe that we are alone in this.

The way I see it, there are a few options:

1. Emulate some old hardware and run the application on that using a product like CHARON-VAX or CHARON-AXP. The way I see it, the pros are that the process should be relatively painless, especially if the 64-bit (AXP) option is used. Potential cons are a degradation in performance (although this should be offset by faster and faster hardware);
2. Port the HP COBOL-based application to a more modern dialect of COBOL, such as Visual COBOL. The pros, then, are the fact that the porting effort is relatively low (it's still COBOL) and the fact that one can run the application on a Unix or Windows platform. The cons are that although you're porting COBOL, the fact that you're porting to a different operating system could make things tricky (esp. if there are OpenVMS-specific dependencies);
3. Automatically translate the COBOL into a more modern language like Java. This has the obvious benefit of immediately freeing one from all the legacy issues in one fell swoop: hardware support, operating system support, and especially finding administrators and programmers. Apart from this being a big job, an obvious downside is the fact that one will end up with non-idiomatic Java (or whatever target language is ultimately chosen); arguably, this is something that can be ameliorated over time.
4. A rewrite, from the ground up (naturally, using modern technologies). Anyone who has done this knows how expensive and time-consuming it is. I've only included it to make the list complete :)

Note that there is no dependency on a proprietary DBMS; the database is ISAM file-based.

So ... my question is:

What are others faced with the imminent obsolescence of Itanium doing to maintain business continuity when their platform of choice is OpenVMS and COBOL?

UPDATE:

We have had an official assurance from our local HP representative that Integrity/Itanium/OpenVMS will be supported at least up until 2022. I guess this means that this whole issue is less about the platform, and more about the language (COBOL).

Answer 1

The main problem with this effort will be the portions of the code that are OpenVMS specific. Most applications developed on OpenVMS typically use routines and procedures that are not easily ported to another platform. Rather that worry about specific language compatibility, I would initially focus on the runtime routines and command procedures used by the application.

An alternative approach may be to continue to use the current application while developing a new one or modifying a commercially available application to suit your needs. While the long term status of Itanium is in question, history indicates that OpenVMS will remain viable for some time to come. There are still VAX machines being used today for business critical applications. The fact that OpenVMS and its hardware is stable is the main reason for its longevity.

Dan