It seems to me that Agile methodologies encourage us to keep things simple, and lean, and not add complexity and sophistication until its needed. But the pace and volume of technology change encourages the use of increasingly abstract, complex and sophisticated tools and patterns to solve problems that we may not have yet (and may never encounter) in complex ways with significant learning curves and significant investments of effort.
Are KISS and YAGNI at odds with the trends towards increasingly more sophisticated ...
A car has an accelator and a brake, and a steering wheel that can turn left and/or right: it's up to the drivers to decide which to use when.
I'll keep my answer short and let the experts lay it out better...
I think that KISS applies to everything you listed. You mention increasing abstraction and complexity, which, I think, balance eachother.
The systems we are developing today must be complex, because, most of the time, the solution to a complex problem is inherently complex. However, to keep things simple, we use abstraction. Even if our complex system is built with, say, eight layers, we can follow KISS by keeping each layer simple.
For instance, to pick an item or two off your list:
However, in both of these cases, the pattern as a whole (or the system, if you will) is complex and non-trivial. It is the fact that we consider small, simple parts one at a time, and then fit them together, that lets us maintain our mental model as we work.
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