Update: Weighted samples are now supported by scipy.stats.gaussian_kde
. See here and here for details.
It is currently not possible to use scipy.stats.gaussian_kde
to estimate the density of a random variable based on weighted samples. What methods are available to estimate densities of continuous random variables based on weighted samples?
Representation of a kernel-density estimate using Gaussian kernels. Kernel density estimation is a way to estimate the probability density function (PDF) of a random variable in a non-parametric way. gaussian_kde works for both uni-variate and multi-variate data. It includes automatic bandwidth determination.
Kernel density estimation (KDE) is in some senses an algorithm which takes the mixture-of-Gaussians idea to its logical extreme: it uses a mixture consisting of one Gaussian component per point, resulting in an essentially non-parametric estimator of density.
The KDE is calculated by weighting the distances of all the data points we've seen for each location on the blue line. If we've seen more points nearby, the estimate is higher, indicating that probability of seeing a point at that location.
kdeplot() function is used to plot the data against a single/univariate variable. It represents the probability distribution of the data values as the area under the plotted curve. In the above example, we have generated some random data values using the numpy. random.
Neither sklearn.neighbors.KernelDensity
nor statsmodels.nonparametric
seem to support weighted samples. I modified scipy.stats.gaussian_kde
to allow for heterogeneous sampling weights and thought the results might be useful for others. An example is shown below.
An ipython
notebook can be found here: http://nbviewer.ipython.org/gist/tillahoffmann/f844bce2ec264c1c8cb5
The weighted arithmetic mean is
The unbiased data covariance matrix is then given by
The bandwidth can be chosen by scott
or silverman
rules as in scipy
. However, the number of samples used to calculate the bandwidth is Kish's approximation for the effective sample size.
For univariate distributions you can use KDEUnivariate
from statsmodels. It is not well documented, but the fit
methods accepts a weights
argument. Then you cannot use FFT. Here is an example:
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from statsmodels.nonparametric.kde import KDEUnivariate
kde1= KDEUnivariate(np.array([10.,10.,10.,5.]))
kde1.fit(bw=0.5)
plt.plot(kde1.support, [kde1.evaluate(xi) for xi in kde1.support],'x-')
kde1= KDEUnivariate(np.array([10.,5.]))
kde1.fit(weights=np.array([3.,1.]),
bw=0.5,
fft=False)
plt.plot(kde1.support, [kde1.evaluate(xi) for xi in kde1.support], 'o-')
which produces this figure:
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