Here are some data
dat = data.frame(y = c(9,7,7,7,5,6,4,6,3,5,1,5), x = c(1,1,2,2,3,3,4,4,5,5,6,6), color = rep(c('a','b'),6))
and the plot of these data if you wish
require(ggplot)
ggplot(dat, aes(x=x,y=y, color=color)) + geom_point() + geom_smooth(method='lm')
When running a model with the function MCMCglmm()
…
require(MCMCglmm)
summary(MCMCglmm(fixed = y~x/color, data=dat))
I get the lower and upper 95% interval for the estimate allowing me to know if the two slopes (color = a and color = b) are significantly different.
When looking at this output...
summary(glm(y~x/color, data=dat))
... I can't see the confidence interval!
My question is:
How can I have these lower and upper 95% interval confidence for the estimates when using the function glm()
?
To find the confidence interval for a lm model (linear regression model), we can use confint function and there is no need to pass the confidence level because the default is 95%. This can be also used for a glm model (general linear model).
We can use the following formula to calculate a 95% confidence interval for the intercept: 95% C.I. for β0: b0 ± tα/2,n-2 * se(b0) 95% C.I. for β0: 65.334 ± t.05/2,15-2 * 2.106.
The odds ratio estimate is 1.227; the 95% confidence interval is (0.761, 1.979).
use confint
mod = glm(y~x/color, data=dat) summary(mod) Call: glm(formula = y ~ x/color, data = dat) Deviance Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -1.11722 -0.40952 -0.04908 0.32674 1.35531 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 8.8667 0.4782 18.540 0.0000000177 x -1.2220 0.1341 -9.113 0.0000077075 x:colorb 0.4725 0.1077 4.387 0.00175 (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 0.5277981) Null deviance: 48.9167 on 11 degrees of freedom Residual deviance: 4.7502 on 9 degrees of freedom AIC: 30.934 Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2 confint(mod) Waiting for profiling to be done... 2.5 % 97.5 % (Intercept) 7.9293355 9.8039978 x -1.4847882 -0.9591679 x:colorb 0.2614333 0.6836217
@alex's approach will get you the confidence limits, but be careful about interpretation. Since glm is fundamentally a non-liner model, the coefficients usually have large covariance. You should at least take a look at the 95% confidence ellipse.
mod <- glm(y~x/color, data=dat)
require(ellipse)
conf.ellipse <- data.frame(ellipse(mod,which=c(2,3)))
ggplot(conf.ellipse, aes(x=x,y=x.colorb)) +
geom_path()+
geom_point(x=mod$coefficient[2],y=mod$coefficient[3], size=5, color="red")
Produces this, which is the 95% confidence ellipse for x and the interaction term.
Notice how the confidence limits produced by confint(...)
are well with the ellipse. In that sense, the ellipse provides a more conservative estimate of the confidence limits.
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